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Two Minute Papers · 2016년 8월 8일 게시
The 2016 Rio Olympic Games is right around the corner, so it is the perfect time to talk a bit about how we can use science to predict the results. Daniel Johnson, a professor of microeconomics at the Colorado College created a simple prediction model, that, over the past 5 Olympic Games, was able to achieve 94% agreement between the predicted and actual medal counts per nation. What is even more amazing is that the model doesn't even take into consideration the athletic abilities of any of these contenders. ____________________ The paper "A Tale of Two Seasons: Participation and Medal Counts at the Summer and Winter Olympic Games" is available here: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Daniel_Johnson7/publication/4920482_A_Tale_of_Two_Seasons_Participation_and_Medal_Counts_at_the_Summer_and_Winter_Olympic_Games/links/0c9605229d43e35dbf000000.pdf A media article about this on Forbes: http://www.forbes.com/2010/01/19/olympic-medal-predictions-business-sports-medals.html The Olympics subreddit is available here: https://www.reddit.com/r/olympics/ From an earlier episode: Two Minute Papers - Narrow Band Liquid Simulations - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nfPBT71xYVQ WE WOULD LIKE TO THANK OUR GENEROUS PATREON SUPPORTERS WHO MAKE TWO MINUTE PAPERS POSSIBLE: David Jaenisch, Sunil Kim, Julian Josephs, Daniel John Benton, Dave Rushton-Smith, Benjamin Kang. https://www.patreon.com/TwoMinutePapers We also thank Experiment for sponsoring our series. - https://experiment.com/ Subscribe if you would like to see more of these! - http://www.youtube.com/subscription_center?add_user=keeroyz The thumbnail background image was created by Rob124 - https://flic.kr/p/efKqca Splash screen/thumbnail design: Felícia Fehér - http://felicia.hu Károly Zsolnai-Fehér's links: Facebook → https://www.facebook.com/TwoMinutePapers/ Twitter → https://twitter.com/karoly_zsolnai Web → https://cg.tuwien.ac.at/~zsolnai/
